10 bellwether counties

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Share; Tweet; 0. Each one is in a battleground state. Kent County, Mich. (pop. Meanwhile, Romney overpowered Obama with 77 percent of the vote in 2012, while just 58 percent of votes went to Trump four years ago. Hidalgo County, New Mexico. Views: Visits 29. Below are 10 bellwether counties that could give signs as to how the electorate feels this cycle and in future races. Conejos County is another area that voted for Trump after Obama won it both in 2008 and 2012. Below are 10 bellwether counties that could give signs as to how the electorate feels this cycle and in future races. By David Wasserman Oct 6, 2020. 2020: Trump – 59.1%, Biden – 38.5. It's expected to again be a top battleground county in one of the top battleground states this time around. (Biden, for example, won over 70% of the vote in Los Angeles County. The lakefront city of Erie is famous for … Key Counties: The race here is not binary, so watching the margins in the biggest counties will be important. Glades County is a perfect example of where Trump ran up the score, winning 69 percent of the vote, compared with 59 percent for Romney in 2012, and pushing Clinton’s vote share to just 29 percent. ), Fact check: Biden won the most total votes – and the fewest total counties – of any president-elect. David Hopkins, a political scientist at Boston College, told the Wall Street Journal that the failure of typical bellwether counties reflects "the overall trend that we are seeing toward greater geographic polarization.". America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. 2. Erie County, Penn. Scott County, located in the swing state of Iowa, almost perfectly matched the popular vote split of the national election in 2016. "This is an added benefit for security and resilience," they wrote. The two contenders are fighting in battlegrounds stretching from the Rust Belt to the Sun Belt. Washington state is not particularly competitive at the presidential level, though Grays Harbor County is just another example of a place that voted for Obama twice before defecting to Trump in 2016. Democrats Woodrow Wilson, John F. Kennedy, Bill Clinton and Grover Cleveland (twice) won elections while losing ground in the House, per The Atlantic. They're just facts about the vote. Both Trump and Biden visited the city, though their trips could not have been more different. Vigo County (/ ˈ v iː ɡ oʊ / VEE-goh or / ˈ v aɪ ɡ oʊ / VY-goh) is a county on the western border of the U.S. state of Indiana.According to the 2010 United States Census, the population was 107,848. More Than Half of U.S. Population in 4.6 Percent of Counties, Fact check: Clarifying the comparison between popular vote and counties won in the 2020 election, Bellwether Counties Nearly Wiped Out by 2020 Election, America’s bellwethers crumbled in aligning with Trump in ’20. This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Even combined, they represent only 53 votes — a fraction of the 538 total electoral votes or the 270 electoral votes required to win the White House. In order to win the Sunshine State’s critical 29 electoral votes, Trump will have to perform similarly in Florida’s rural expanses. The county appears to set the stage for a contrast between Trump’s controversial trade policies and Biden’s record on supporting deals like the North American Free Trade Agreement and bailing out the auto industry in the Obama administration. The meme compares information about former President Barack Obama in 2008 and President Donald Trump and Biden in 2020. The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble. Weeks after Election Day, there have still been no discoveries of widespread voter fraud. Most of the statistics in the meme are true — but they are not proof of voter fraud. Last time around, Peach County stood as a bellwether for the entire state. While Obama lost the county both in 2008 and 2012, he still hit 42 percent and 40 percent, respectively. What does this mean for the nation's political-economic divide? A voting hub boasting more than 687,000 registered voters, the county also has a strong history in automotive manufacturing, and a General Motors factory closed down there last year. First, it lists total number of votes they received — Obama at 69,000,000, Trump at 74,000,000 and Biden at 81,000,000. Trump won the other 18 counties. Navajo Nation members have sued to ease Arizona's deadline for mail-in ballots, arguing that the state’s requirement that ballots be received by Election Day could disenfranchise voters living on reservations because of its geographical isolation and lack of resources. Places like Glades County, a rural area located in south-central Florida, helped Trump achieve his 1-point victory in the state in 2016 and will be crucial in his path to victory there again this year. Trump took 9 out of the top ten bellwether counties. The term derives from the Middle English bellewether and refers to the practice of placing a bell around the neck of a castrated ram leading the But Democrats hope that higher African-American engagement — including a strong surge … doing well nationally: older people, African-Americans and upper-income suburbanites (Whole … Boebert will face off against Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush, who lost to Tipton by about 8 points in 2018, which was smaller than Tipton’s 15-point margin in 2016 and 22-point margin in 2014. The statistics also are not indicative of electoral fraud. "It gave suburban moderates an opportunity to vent their anger at Trump directly at the top of the ticket but continue to vote for the down-ballot Republicans they liked," he said. 3. Arizona is typically a solid Republican state, but its 11 electoral votes are up for grabs this year, with the supreme importance of Maricopa County becoming well-documented. Ultimately, they are simply 19 counties — and this time, 18 of them voted for the candidate who lost the election. A single county could have as few as 88 residents, like Kalawao County, Hawaii. Republicans Ulysses S. Grant and William Howard Taft won a majority of the presidential popular vote but lost a handful of seats in House, too. Meanwhile, Biden met privately with Blake’s family and listened to testimony from the city’s residents. Historically a swing state, Colorado has emerged as consistently friendly Democratic territory for several consecutive cycles. Split-Ticket Voters Helped Biden, Republicans in Nebraska, Maine, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. According to PolitiFact, voter turnout was 66.2% in 2020 and 61.6% in 2008. Skip to comments. From 1980 through 2016, there were 19 counties that consistently voted for the eventual president. Has No Presidential Candidate ‘Won Iowa, Florida and Ohio’ and Still Lost? The county is located in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District, which has been won fairly comfortably by Republican Rep. Scott TiptonScott R. TiptonGosar's office denies he will appear on popular QAnon talk show Democrats press to bar lawmakers from carrying guns in the Capitol House Republicans who didn't sign onto the Texas lawsuit MORE since 2010. 656,955) The prosperous home of Steelcase office furniture, the DeVos family’s Amway empire and President Gerald Ford, Grand Rapids was long a Republican bastion owing to its deeply conservative Dutch Reformed roots. This is more proof of massive election fraud. The county, which includes part of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, has pingponged in how willing it is to veer away from Republicans. Arizona has conducted nine partisan statewide elections in the last two cycles. "End of day, the solution is complicated but the problem is very simple," wrote a user who shared the meme on Instagram. Disney Slides After Streaming Subscriptions Come Up Short. Democrats won the contests for the Senate, Secretary of State, and Superintendent of P… Dingell hospitalized for surgery on perforated ulcer Biden administration renews Temporary Protected Status for Haiti Amash warns of turning lawmakers like Cheney into 'heroes' MORE. President-elect Joe Biden officially secured the presidency after the Electoral College met to give him and Vice President-elect Harris 306 votes. The county seat is Terre Haute.. Vigo County is included in the Terre Haute metropolitan area.. In the 2020 presidential election, almost all counties which had voted for the election winner between 1980 an… Surgical conditions represent a significant proportion of the global burden of disease, and therefore, surgery is an essential component of health systems. The pooled POMR of all bellwether procedures as well as for each individual bellwether procedure was compared with the all-cause POMR in each of the 26 states, and one federal district and correlations were … "The 2020 election was RIGGED.". The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all, or almost all, elections. 10 Bellwether Counties Could Signal Where Election's Headed | RealClearPolitics 1. More: Fact check: What's true and what's false about the 2020 election. But what makes this county unique is its intimate connection to the national reckoning over systemic racism and police brutality after the police shooting of Jacob Blake in Kenosha, the county’s largest city. You can subscribe to our print edition, ad-free app or electronic newspaper replica here. The Hill 1625 K Street, NW Suite 900 Washington DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 tel | 202-628-8503 fax. But Tipton was ousted in a primary earlier this year by Lauren Boebert, a gun-toting firebrand who has made comments praising the QAnon conspiracy theory. Democrats have been bullish for years that Texas is competitive, and to prove that the Lone Star State can finally turn blue, Biden will have to perform well in places like Denton County. By removing the ones that don't fit your narrative, you could easily manipulate the statistics. Our fact check work is supported in part by a grant from Facebook. The fourth-largest of Iowa’s 99 counties, Scott disproportionately went for Obama in 2008 and 2012 before Hillary Clinton narrowly won it by a 48-46 margin in 2016. You could take an excel spreadsheet and remove any bellwether counties against your narrative. After Obama garnered 38 percent of the vote in 2008, he fell to just 22 percent in 2012 before Clinton jumped back to 38 percent in 2016. First, what are bellwether counties? Biden-voting counties equal 70% of America's economy. Kenosha County in southwest Wisconsin is a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats. In a sign of the importance of the county, Vice President Pence has already campaigned there, and Biden’s wife, Jill, conducted a virtual town hall with educators there. The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble. Click here, for more. From 1980 through 2016, there were 19 counties that consistently voted for the eventual president. There are a total of 3,141 counties or county equivalents in the United States. That includes 10 elections, including Obama in 2008 and Trump in 2016. Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! But the strength of O’Rourke’s campaign was a sign of virtually unheard-of statewide enthusiasm for a Democratic in Texas, so Biden may have to bring the same energy to win a place like Denton. "Biden did well in virtually all of the most populous counties in the U.S., which, along with a larger electorate explains why he defeated Donald Trump by over 7 million votes, despite carrying many fewer counties," Smith wrote. Obama had won there twice by double digits in 2008 and 2012. Could these bellwether counties really have gotten it … Essex County, Vermont. How … It's true that both Obama in 2008 and Trump in 2020 won in Florida, Ohio and Iowa. Biden drew headlines in September after Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro hit him over his plan to combat deforestation in the Amazon. Robeson County on the South Carolina border is one of the country’s “majority-minority” counties, where white residents make up under 50 percent of the population, suggesting it would lean Democrat, though it is also rural and low-income and just more than 13 percent of its residents have a college degree, giving Republicans a foothold. More than half of all Americans live in just 143 counties, per the U.S. Census Bureau. The most impressive of those was Valencia County, New Mexico, which voted for the victor in every presidential election from 1952 to 2016. "There is no evidence that any voting system deleted or lost votes, changed votes, or was in any way compromised," they concluded. But those states represent just 29, 18 and six electoral votes, respectively. In 2018, it conducted elections for U.S. Senate, Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General, Treasurer, Superintendent of Public Instruction, and Mine Inspector.

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